After rain washed out Pakistan’s first Super 8 clash against New Zealand and a narrow loss to England in their second match, Pakistan’s hopes of reaching the T20 World Cup 2026 semi-finals now depend heavily on other results.
Pakistan currently sits third in Group 2 with 1 point from 2 matches, while England has already secured a semi-final spot.
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For Pakistan, every remaining match and weather condition could play a decisive role.
There remains a rare scenario in which Pakistan can still qualify even if they don’t beat Sri Lanka, but only if several results go in their favour.
If rain abandons today’s match between Sri Lanka and New Zealand, both teams will receive one point each.
READ: Pakistan’s qualification scenario for T20 World Cup 2026 semi-finals
After that, England must defeat New Zealand by a big margin.
Such a result would damage New Zealand’s net run rate, leaving them with two points from three matches but with a weaker run rate than Pakistan.
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If the final Super 8 match of Group 2 between Pakistan and Sri Lanka is also abandoned due to rain, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and New Zealand would all finish with two points each.
In that situation, Pakistan could qualify for the semi-finals on the basis of a superior net run rate, helped by their narrow defeat to England in the final over.
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However, this qualification path will end if today’s match is completed as scheduled or if New Zealand defeats England in their remaining fixture.
New Zealand will face Sri Lanka today, while England will take on New Zealand on Friday.
Pakistan will play their final Super 8 match against Sri Lanka on Saturday.
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Pakistan’s semi-final hopes are still alive, but only just, and much depends on results beyond their control.
